对省以下财政分权决定因素的实证分析——基于我国的县级数据
An Empirical Study on the Determinants of Fiscal Decentralization below the Provincial Level—Based on the China County Data
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摘要: 中国的财政分权改革主要发生在中央与省的关系层面, 省以下分权由地方政府参照“中央—省”的制度安排自行调整。本文对中国县级数据进行实证分析, 结果表明: 地方政府的“双重援助依赖”引起了省以下政府的过度集权; 与县级政府相比, 省级政府的权力和资源更容易被地方精英所觊觎, 并产生更大的“横财效应”和“贪婪效应”; 资本等生产要素在省内的流动性比省际间要高, 分权条件下县级政府为增长而竞争的激励更强; “省直管县”制度难以孕育县级经济发展动力, 对根本解决县乡财政困难作用有限, 借鉴“命令模式”建立省以下分权制度可能会找到解决之道。Abstract: The reform of China fiscal decentralization mainly takes place in the central authorities and provincial governments, while the local governments below the provincial level make their own adjustments to the 'central and provincial' regulation. This paper analyzes the determinants of fiscal decentralization on the basis of China county data. Resultsshow that 1) 'double grant dependency' brings over-centralization to local government; 2) compared with county-level government, power and resources of provincial government are easily coveted by regional elites, which increases the 'windfall effect' and 'voracity effect'; 3) as the mobility of factors of production is higher in the province than that of inter-province, county-level government receives higher incentive to compete for economic growth in decentralization; 4) the policy of 'county under direct provincial control' can not stimulate the economic growth in county and is not an ultimate solution to its fiscal embarrassment. Therefore, application of mandate model to establishing fiscal decentralization is recommended.
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