2095-1124

CN 51-1738/F

基于加性网络DEA—Malmquist模型的物流促进乡村产业振兴效率测度与动态演进

Efficiency Measurement and Dynamic Evolution of Logistics in Promoting Rural Industrial Revitalization: Evidence from an Additive Network DEA–Malmquist Model

  • 摘要: 物流是推动乡村产业振兴的重要支撑。文章基于2013—2022年中国30个省域面板数据,采用两阶段加性网络DEA—Malmquist模型,系统测度物流促进乡村产业振兴的静态与动态效率。结果表明,30个省域整体效率持续上升,2013—2022年年均增速达7.37%,物流对乡村产业振兴的促进作用不断增强;两阶段分解显示,阶段Ⅰ“物流能力—服务”始终是整体绩效提升的主要瓶颈;技术效率变化指数Effch总体平稳,反映管理与组织效率的改善比较稳定;技术变化指数Techch长期高于1,说明技术进步是推动效率提升的关键力量。区域比较结果显示,东部地区以技术驱动为主,中部地区形成“技术进步+组织优化”的双轮驱动格局,而西部地区受限于交通条件和网络连通性不足,物流体系的成本与时间压缩效应尚未充分释放。基于上述结论,文章提出了提高物流促进乡村产业振兴效率的政策建议。

     

    Abstract: Logistics serves as a key enabling factor for rural industrial revitalization. Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces over the period 2013–2022, this study employs a two-stage additive network DEA–Malmquist model to systematically evaluate the static and dynamic efficiency of logistics in promoting rural industrial revitalization. The results show that the overall efficiency across the 30 provincial-level regions has improved steadily at an average annual rate of 7.37%, suggesting that logistics has played an increasingly important role in promoting rural industrial revitalization. The two-stage decomposition reveals that the Stage I “logistics capacity–service” stage remains the primary bottleneck constraining overall performance. The technical efficiency change index (Effch) remains relatively stable, reflecting consistent improvements in managerial and organizational efficiency. In contrast, the technical change index (Techch) has remained above 1 over the long term, indicating that technological progress is the key driver of efficiency gains. A regional comparison indicates that the eastern region is predominantly technology-driven, the central region exhibits a dual-driving pattern of technological progress and organizational optimization, while the western region remains constrained by inadequate transportation conditions and limited network connectivity, with its cost and time compression effects yet to be fully realized. Based on these findings, this study proposes policy recommendations to enhance the efficiency of logistics in promoting rural industrial revitalization.

     

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