Abstract:
Reducing the environmental cost of value-added export trade is an important part of promoting the green Belt and Road construction. This paper uses carbon emission intensity of value-added exports to characterize the environmental cost of value-added export trade. First, based on the EORA 26 database, it measures the environmental cost of China’s value-added exports to countries along the Belt and Road from 2000 to 2015. Then structural decomposition method and regression analysis are used to identify direct and intrinsic influencing factors that affecting the carbon emission intensity of China’s value-added exports to countries along the Belt and Road. The results show that the carbon emission intensity of China’s value-added exports to countries along the Belt and Road shows an overall downward trend, there are differences in the carbon emission intensity of China’s value-added exports to countries along the Belt and Road between countries and industries; The decrease in the carbon emission intensity of China’s value-added exports to countries along the Belt and Road is mainly caused by the change of the direct carbon emission coefficient; The improvement of the degree of offshore outsourcing, international market share, division position in global value chain, the degree of service input and the expansion of the domestic market scale can reduce the carbon emission intensity of value-added exports of Chinese industries to countries along the Belt and Road significantly. Finally this paper puts forward policy recommendations to promote deep emission reduction in key industries, promote enterprises to carry out offshore outsourcing, promote the transformation of manufacturing industry into service and promote the upgrading of enterprise value chain.