2095-1124

CN 51-1738/F

中国新质生产力发展水平及演变测度

Development Level and Evolution of China’s New Quality Productive Forces

  • 摘要: 因地制宜发展新质生产力是推动高质量发展的内在要求和重要着力点,是建设现代化强国的根本遵循,明晰新质生产力的发展水平、时空演变特征是科学研判其实现路径的依据。文章基于2011—2023年中国30个省份的面板数据,从新要素、新结构与新特征三个维度构建新质生产力综合评价指标体系,评估其时空演化特征。研究发现:(1)我国新质生产力发展水平在整体上呈逐年递增态势;在空间上表现为“东部−中西部−东北地区”梯度递减格局,新质生产力发展存在区域不平衡问题。(2)从异质性来源来看,随着时间推移,我国新质生产力发展水平差异的主要来源由区域间差异演变为区域内差异。基于上述研究结论,文章提出构建“内外并举、有效市场与有为政府相结合、金融与经济相适配”多维度新质生产力培育与发展体系框架,推动新质生产力发展。

     

    Abstract: Developing new quality productive forces (NQPF) in accordance with local conditions constitutes an inherent requirement and a key priority for promoting high-quality development, as well as a fundamental guideline for building a modernized nation. Clarifying the development level and spatiotemporal evolution of NQPF provides an essential basis for identifying its realization pathways. Based on panel data from 30 Chinese provinces covering the period 2011–2023, this study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for NQPF from three dimensions—new elements, new structures, and new characteristics—and examines its spatiotemporal evolution. The results show that: (1) the development level of NQPF in China exhibits a steady upward trend overall; spatially, it displays a declining gradient from the eastern to the central and western, and further to the northeastern regions, indicating significant regional imbalance. (2) In terms of disparity sources, the dominant driver of variation has shifted from inter-regional differences to intra-regional differences over time. Based on these findings, this study proposes a multidimensional framework for fostering NQPF, which emphasizes the coordination of domestic and external drivers, the integration of efficient markets with a proactive government, and the alignment between finance and the real economy, so as to further promote the development of NQPF.

     

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