2095-1124

CN 51-1738/F

人民币汇率波动对云南省与东南亚贸易影响效应的实证研究

An Empirical Study of the Impact of RMB Exchange Rate Fluctuation on Yunnan-Southeast Asia Trade

  • 摘要: 人民币汇率变动的贸易效应是众多学者关注的焦点,人民币汇率波动对云南省与东南亚贸易有着重要影响。本文采用云南省2003—2018年季度时间序列数据分析人民币汇率变动对云南省与东南亚贸易的影响。研究结果显示:人民币汇率变动会对云南省与东南亚贸易产生显著影响,并且基本为正向的影响。基于研究结果,本文提出了相应的对策。

     

    Abstract: The trade effect caused by the change of RMB exchange rate is the focus of scholars. The fluctuation of RMB exchange rate has an essential impact on the trade between Yunnan and Southeast Asia. This paper takes quarterly time series data of Yunnan from 2003 to 2018 to analyze the impact of RMB exchange rate changes on the trade between Yunnan and Southeast Asia. The research results show that the changes in RMB exchange rate have a significant impact on the trade between Yunnan and the Southeast Asia, mostly positive. Based on the research, this paper proposes corresponding countermeasures.

     

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